Myths about teaching can hold you back
- Year 9
- Year 9
Predicting the weather
I can use a simple model to predict the weather.
Lesson details
Key learning points
- A probability model can be used to predict the weather
- Some models are better than others at predicting the weather
- An incorrect prediction does not necessarily mean the model is so wrong it should be changed
Keywords
Forecast - A forecast is a prediction of a future event occurring (based on data).
Extrapolation - Extrapolation is the process of estimating unknown values that are outside the range of existing data.
Common misconception
If the weather report has the rain icon, it means it will rain.
The rain symbol is to denote what type of rain it is likely to be should it rain. The percentage chance of rain then informs us about how likely it is to rain.
To help you plan your year 9 maths lesson on: Predicting the weather, download all teaching resources for free and adapt to suit your pupils' needs...
To help you plan your year 9 maths lesson on: Predicting the weather, download all teaching resources for free and adapt to suit your pupils' needs.
The starter quiz will activate and check your pupils' prior knowledge, with versions available both with and without answers in PDF format.
We use learning cycles to break down learning into key concepts or ideas linked to the learning outcome. Each learning cycle features explanations with checks for understanding and practice tasks with feedback. All of this is found in our slide decks, ready for you to download and edit. The practice tasks are also available as printable worksheets and some lessons have additional materials with extra material you might need for teaching the lesson.
The assessment exit quiz will test your pupils' understanding of the key learning points.
Our video is a tool for planning, showing how other teachers might teach the lesson, offering helpful tips, modelled explanations and inspiration for your own delivery in the classroom. Plus, you can set it as homework or revision for pupils and keep their learning on track by sharing an online pupil version of this lesson.
Explore more key stage 3 maths lessons from the Maths and the environment unit, dive into the full secondary maths curriculum, or learn more about lesson planning.
Equipment
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Lesson video
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Prior knowledge starter quiz
6 Questions
Q1.A rectangle has lengths 2 m by 4 m. Its area is m$$^2$$.
Q2.5.5 litres = __________ millilitres.
Q3.Which likelihood describes an event with a probability of 80%?
Q4.Which fractions are equivalent to 80%?
Q5.$$1 : 6 = 0.8 : x$$. What is the value of $$x$$?
Q6.A cuboid has lengths 1 m by 1 m by 1 mm. The volume of the cuboid is mm$$^3$$.
Assessment exit quiz
6 Questions
Q1.6.5 mm of rain means that every one square metre of area will have 6.5 __________ of water fall on top of it.
Q2.Find the value of $$x$$.
Q3.This graph shows the mean night-time temperature in November each year from 2009 to 2022 in Oakfield. Which year had the lowest mean night-time temperature for November?
Q4.Which likelihood describes an event with a probability of 100%?
Q5.A weather forecast shows 20 days that have a 40% chance of rain. For how many of these 20 days could we expect rain?
Q6.The chart shows that it rained on % of the days, during the period of time shown.
