Problem solving with possible outcomes
I can choose an appropriate diagram to display the outcomes for different events.
Problem solving with possible outcomes
I can choose an appropriate diagram to display the outcomes for different events.
These resources will be removed by end of Summer Term 2025.
Lesson details
Key learning points
- The possible outcomes can be displayed for two or more events using an appropriate diagram.
- The various diagrams can be evaluated and the appropriateness of each diagram decided.
- The likelihood of an outcome can be determined using a mixture of different diagrams.
Keywords
Likelihood - Likelihood describes the chance that a particular event occurs.
Outcome table - An outcome table is a table that shows all the possible outcomes.
Outcome tree - Each branch of an outcome tree shows a possible outcome from an event or from a stage of a trial. The full outcome tree shows all possible outcomes.
Venn diagram - Venn diagrams are a representation used to model statistical/probability questions. Commonly circles are used to represent events.
Common misconception
Outcome tables and outcome trees only work for outcomes that are all equally likely.
Outcome tables can be separated into more rows and columns, and outcome trees split into more branches, to show outcomes that are more or less likely than other ones. This does mean these diagrams do get massive very quickly!
Licence
This content is © Oak National Academy Limited (2024), licensed on Open Government Licence version 3.0 except where otherwise stated. See Oak's terms & conditions (Collection 2).
Lesson video
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Starter quiz
6 Questions
a -
8
b -
144
c -
81
d -
201
a -
28
b -
35
c -
280
d -
77
a -
21
b -
5
c -
49
d -
7
e -
15
a -
56
b -
14
c -
84
d -
21
Exit quiz
6 Questions
a -
X X
b -
Y X
c -
Y Y
d -
Z X
e -
Z Z
The event that Alex wins... -
is the most likely outcome.
The event that Sam wins... -
is in between the least and most likely outcomes on a likelihood scale
The event that they draw... -
is the least likely outcome.
The most common outcome is... -
Y Y
The least common outcome is... -
X X
Y Y appears 1.5× as often as... -
XY