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      Lesson details

      Learning outcome

      I can estimate from scatter graphs.

      Key learning points

      1. When a linear trend can be identified, you can draw a line of best fit.
      2. The line of best fit should represent the trend of the data.
      3. The line of best fit can be used to estimate the values of a data point.
      4. Lines of best fit should only be used to estimate the dependent variable.

      Keywords

      • Line of best fit - A line of best fit is a line where the distance between each data point and the line is minimised.

      Common misconception

      The line of best fit always start at the origin.

      The line of best fit could start at the origin but it does not always start there. This could be exemplified clearly with a scatter graph that has negative correlation.

      Teacher tip

      The slide deck contains a link to a scatter graph on Geogebra, which allows the user to adjust the line of best fit and observe how each adjustment affects its vertical distance to each point. This could be done as a demonstration by the teacher or individually by pupils with access to the internet.

      Licence

      This content is © Oak National Academy Limited (2025), licensed on Open Government Licence version 3.0
      except where otherwise stated. See Oak's terms & conditions
      (Collection 2).

      Lesson video

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      Prior knowledge starter quiz

      6 Questions

      Q1.
      Correlation describes the extent to which a relationship between two variables is close to a relationship.

      Correct Answer: linear, Linear

      Q2.
      Select the scatter graph which does not show an association between the two variables.

      Correct Answer: An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz

      Q3.
      Which of these scatter graphs shows a negative correlation?

      An image in a quiz
      Correct Answer: An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz

      Q4.
      This scatter graph shows the value of a car and its age. The scatter graph shows correlation.

      An image in a quiz
      Correct Answer: negative, Negative

      Q5.
      Lucas says, ‘A positive correlation means that one variable causes the increase in the other variable.” Is Lucas correct?

      Yes, one variable is affecting the other.
      Yes, correlation means one variable causes the other to increase.
      No, one variable cause the other variable to decrease.
      Correct answer: No, the increase in both variables might be caused by a third variable.

      Q6.
      This scatter graph shows data taken from an gas supplier about energy bills and outside daily temperatures. Select the correct statement.

      An image in a quiz
      As the mean gas bill increases, mean temperature decreases.
      As the mean gas bill increases, mean temperature increases.
      As temperature decreases, the mean gas bill decreases.
      Correct answer: As temperature increases, the mean gas bill decreases.

      6 Questions

      Q1.
      A line of is a line where the distance between each data point and the line is minimised.

      Correct Answer: best fit, Best fit, Best Fit

      Q2.
      Andeep says the line of best fit must always go through the origin. Is Andeep correct?

      No, only lines of best fit for positive correlation go through the origin.
      Correct answer: No, the line of best fit depends on the distribution of the points.
      Yes, when one variable is zero the other must be too.
      Yes, it should always start in the bottom left corner of the graph.

      Q3.
      Which of these graphs has an appropriate line of best fit?

      An image in a quiz
      Correct Answer: An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz
      An image in a quiz

      Q4.
      The scatter graph shows data taken from the ONS, where each point represents a region in the UK. Use the line of best fit to estimate the population of a region with emissions of 1000 kt CO2.

      An image in a quiz
      750
      780
      700 000
      Correct answer: 750 000
      800 000

      Q5.
      The scatter graph shows data taken from the ONS about regions in the UK. An estimate for the median income in a region where the median house price is £300 000 is £ to the nearest thousand.

      An image in a quiz
      Correct Answer: 30 000, 30,000, 30000, £30 000

      Q6.
      The scatter graph shows data taken from the ONS about regions in the UK. The population of a region is predicted to double from 200 000 to 400 000, estimate how many more cell towers the region needs.

      An image in a quiz
      2000
      Correct answer: 4000
      8000
      10 000

      To help you plan your 10 maths lesson on: Estimating from scatter graphs, download all teaching resources for free and adapt to suit your pupils' needs...